Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2052.785501 2239.510748 2430.495420 2640.160001 2863.574508 3094.234795 3350.086849
2024-10-06 1787.371068 2065.842078 2363.079707 2702.827319 3079.254186 3482.396246 3945.617907
2024-10-13 1588.884608 1918.796350 2282.409271 2710.550677 3198.446103 3734.696207 4366.158888
2024-10-20 1438.474521 1803.440329 2216.737055 2715.550613 3297.231771 3950.094446 4734.050475
2024-10-27 1264.453864 1643.325291 2083.585572 2627.408363 3275.256403 4016.450725 4922.357855
2024-11-03 1208.500248 1616.990742 2101.609726 2711.337093 3449.950853 4307.643903 5370.285948
2024-11-10 1144.001859 1573.938916 2094.153552 2760.087929 3579.459195 4544.076301 5754.166709
2024-11-17 1063.309270 1504.327021 2048.518903 2757.118106 3642.339839 4698.407312 6039.156967
2024-11-24 978.973740 1424.154600 1984.276351 2725.920911 3666.226600 4802.469294 6261.627148
2024-12-01 928.703375 1384.944694 1968.944261 2753.616139 3761.330058 4992.542694 6589.246614
2024-12-08 871.773832 1333.103531 1933.932143 2753.099570 3818.566299 5134.539884 6857.602157
2024-12-15 840.372885 1313.856532 1939.950385 2804.479580 3941.345645 5358.630416 7229.577159
2024-12-22 785.804242 1260.346885 1898.874459 2793.415301 3984.411556 5484.769165 7483.546893
2024-12-29 762.567247 1249.769482 1914.999991 2858.244691 4127.020715 5739.146959 7902.923487
2025-01-05 721.630093 1211.181420 1890.443235 2866.295704 4193.557170 5895.638588 8198.482131
2025-01-12 682.934750 1173.560359 1865.154307 2871.516479 4255.047536 6045.140557 8485.688065
2025-01-19 616.665144 1090.858076 1772.330435 2779.461670 4182.047891 6016.196319 8539.700074
2025-01-26 609.393874 1097.615954 1807.686616 2867.116586 4354.198944 6311.420133 9019.105455
2025-02-02 591.854102 1087.329140 1817.416672 2918.019685 4476.081760 6540.983683 9414.518756
2025-02-09 560.287021 1053.151166 1790.374981 2914.919000 4522.308095 6669.329290 9677.021009
2025-02-16 522.925572 1007.568767 1744.303634 2882.345174 4525.769762 6739.146302 9861.484687
2025-02-23 503.837426 990.752535 1740.782253 2911.262680 4615.551755 6926.185242 10203.943825
2025-03-02 478.556537 962.236513 1718.073209 2910.723340 4662.786006 7055.126121 10469.031641